SignalMacro

CBOE Crude Oil Volatility $63.78 ↑ 2.8% 61th %ile (fear) • KXWTI 8.5% — $117 or above

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026?

What changed

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026? Percentile: 61th in 90d range | Regime: fear

Why it matters

Volatility spike to 61st percentile fear with Kalshi pricing 8.5% chance of oil above $117.

Sources

futures